FalsifyLab Alpha

Detect likely active airdrop / points-farming programs by flagging DefiLlama pools whose reported APY exceeds base+reward APY — the gap implies an unpriced incentive (points) program. Use when a user wants airdrop-farming opportunities or to assess the capital and chain needed to farm one. Pair with top_yield_farms for pure yield. Returns pools: protocol, chain, symbol, real_apy, yield_gap, tvl_usd, est_capital_required_usd, and a confidence score (0-1) that the gap is a points program. Sourced from the Suki defi_scanner. Free tier cached/limited; Pro real-time, up to 100. Speculative by nature — no airdrop is guaranteed.

The flagship cross-source tool: returns tickers/assets where 2+ independent FalsifyLab signals align in the last 24h, so an agent gets pre-correlated conviction instead of one isolated signal. Stacks insider Form 4 clusters, material 8-K filings, ETF flows, DeFi yields, airdrop activity, Hyperliquid vault concentration, Polymarket whale positions, earnings drift, token unlocks, and Fed comm events. Use this FIRST when a user asks 'what looks interesting today' — it is the highest-level scan; drill into the underlying single-signal tools for detail. Returns: asset/ticker, signal_count, which signals fired, and a per-asset detail list. Higher signal_count = more corroboration. Pro tier (paid) — this stacking is the differentiator.

Radar for post-earnings-announcement drift (PEAD) and pre-print IV-crush setups in US equities. Use when planning around an earnings calendar — either to find names likely to drift after a print, or high IV-crush-probability names to avoid being long premium into. Returns candidates: ticker, report_date, expected_drift_pct, iv_crush_prob (0-1), surprise history, and direction. Forward-looking over the configured horizon. Pro tier (paid). Probabilistic — backtest before acting.

Today's aggregate net flows into US-listed spot crypto ETFs — a proxy for institutional demand. Use when gauging institutional bid/offer behind BTC or ETH, or to confirm a move is flow-driven. Returns: btc_net_flow_usd, eth_net_flow_usd, flow_streak_days (consecutive same-sign days), and cumulative_aum_usd. Takes no parameters — always the latest cross-issuer aggregate. Source: SoSoValue, updated each US session. Free tier cached; Pro real-time.

Radar for upcoming Federal Reserve speaker events, scored by each speaker's historical rate-expectation sensitivity, to flag macro volatility windows before they hit. Use when timing macro risk — e.g. before sizing into a rate-sensitive position, or to know if a vol-inducing Fed event is imminent. Returns events: speaker, role, event_time (UTC), hist_rate_delta_bps (typical post-event move in fed-funds expectations), and a volatility flag. Forward-looking over the configured window. Pro tier (paid).

Rank Hyperliquid copy-trading vaults by a composite quality score (blends 30d return, max drawdown, and follower count) so an agent can find vaults worth following rather than just the highest raw return. Use when a user asks which Hyperliquid vaults to copy/follow, or to look up a vault's risk profile before allocating. Returns an array of vaults: name, address, nav_usd, return_30d (pct), max_drawdown (pct), follower_count, and composite score (0-1). Real-time from the Hyperliquid info API at call time. Free tier returns top 5; Pro returns up to 100. Reference data only, not allocation advice — verify on-chain before copying.

Detect SEC Form 4 insider-buy clusters: tickers where 3+ distinct insiders made open-market purchases within a short window — a stronger bullish tell than any single buy. Filtered to transaction code 'P' (open-market buys); awards, grants, gifts, and option exercises are excluded. Use when scanning for bottom-up bullish equity signals or corroborating conviction on a specific name. Pair with sec8k_material_today and confluence_today. Returns clusters: ticker, insider_count, total_usd bought, list of (insider name, role, shares, price), and the filing window. Sourced from EDGAR Form 4 feeds. Free tier cached/limited; Pro real-time with full history.

One-call snapshot of the US macro tape across equities, rates, FX, commodities, and crypto — the cross-asset context an agent needs before reasoning about any single market. Use at the start of a market-analysis task, or when a user asks 'how are markets today'. Returns a row per instrument: symbol, last price, change_1d (pct), change_5d (pct). Default universe: SPX, NDX, RUT, VIX, UST 2y, UST 10y, DXY, GOLD, WTI, BTC, ETH. Quotes are near-real-time at call. Free tier available without a key.

Top-scored on-chain wallets from FalsifyLab's live Solana copy-trading bot — production wallet scores, not speculative analytics. Each wallet's composite score blends 5 weighted sub-scores (profitability, consistency, risk, copyability, behavior_quality), calibrated against realized copy-trade PnL; consistency and behavior_quality are weighted highest (rho +0.76 and +0.755 to PnL). Use when a user wants smart-money wallets to copy or watch on-chain, or to vet a wallet's quality before following. Returns wallets: address, status (MONITORED/CANDIDATE/ACTIVE/DEMOTED), provider, the 5 sub-scores + composite, and scan window. Pro tier (paid). Reference only — verify before copying.

Surface the largest active Polymarket positions held by tracked whale wallets — a sentiment/conviction read on prediction markets. Use when a user asks what smart money is betting on Polymarket, or for a copy-trade reference on a specific event. Returns positions: wallet, market question, outcome side, position_size_usd, avg_entry_price, and current price. Only positions above min_position_usd are included. Near-real-time from Polymarket data APIs. Pro tier (paid) — not trading advice.

Surface today's material SEC 8-K filings, filtered to the item codes that actually move price, so an agent skips routine noise. Use when monitoring for fresh corporate catalysts (earnings, M&A, executive departures, dilution, restatements, delisting) across the market or for one ticker. Returns filings: ticker, company, item_codes, filed_at (UTC), headline summary, and EDGAR link. Item codes covered: 2.02 (results/earnings), 5.02 (officer/director change), 2.01 (completion of acquisition), 3.02 (unregistered equity/dilution), 4.02 (non-reliance/restatement), 3.01 (delisting/listing-rule). Polls EDGAR through the trading day. Free tier cached; Pro real-time.

Forward radar for crypto token unlocks (vesting cliffs) that create supply overhang — useful for spotting potential sell-pressure setups. Use when assessing the supply side of a token's near-term outlook, or screening for unlock-driven short/avoid setups. Returns upcoming unlocks: token, unlock_date, unlock_usd, unlock_pct_of_circulating, and recipient category (team/investor/ecosystem). Sorted by date. Forward-looking over the configured horizon. Pro tier (paid).

Rank DeFi liquidity-pool yield farms by realistic APY with token emissions stripped out (so a 200% headline that is 95% inflationary rewards is demoted, not surfaced). Use when an agent needs current places to deploy stablecoin or blue-chip capital for yield, or to sanity-check a farm a user mentions. Pair with active_airdrop_farms for points-program upside. Returns an array of pools: protocol, chain, symbol, tvl_usd, real_apy (emissions-adjusted), base_apy, reward_apy, il_risk note, and oracle-exposure flag. Sorted by real_apy descending. Refreshed every 24h from the FalsifyLab aggregator over DefiLlama. Free tier returns cached data, top 5; Pro returns real-time, up to 100.