LabscoMCP early access ↗
RJW34MCP SERVER

Weather Edge MCP

Calibrated weather-market signals for Kalshi — forecast bias correction, live market prices and per-bucket edge, in five tools.

by RJW34 ↗Economic, Alternative & Prediction-Market DataCommunity

LABSCO SUMMARY

It shows the forecast under the signal.

The distinguishing move is that the calibration is not hidden: get_forecast returns the bias-adjusted forecast and list_cities returns the calibration parameters, so an edge number can be traced back to the forecast and the station observation that produced it. Coverage is deliberately narrow — five cities — and the market and weather feeds are all public APIs.

What it is

An MCP server for Kalshi weather markets. It calibrates National Weather Service daily high-temperature forecasts per city, reads current Kalshi prices, and returns per-bucket probability, edge and net expected value — so the model gets a signal rather than a raw forecast.

What you get

  • Calibrated signals for one city's Kalshi weather markets — get_weather_signals
  • The same scan across every supported city at once — get_all_signals
  • The bias-adjusted forecast behind a signal, so the input is inspectable — get_forecast
  • The latest METAR observation from the station a market settles against — get_station_observation
  • The supported cities and their calibration parameters — list_cities; the cities are nyc, chicago, denver, miami and la
  • Three transports from one binary: --transport stdio, --transport sse --port 8050, --transport streamable-http --port 8050

Requirements

It is not on PyPI, so the README's pip install line fails; install it from a clone with pip install ., after which the documented Claude Desktop entry runs it as python -m weather_edge_mcp. Data comes from the National Weather Service forecast API, the Aviation Weather METAR API and the Kalshi public market API. An optional FastAPI surface can be started separately with uvicorn on port 8080, and the README notes stdio mode stays side-effect free.

Setup effort

Build from source — git clone https://github.com/RJW34/weather-edge-mcp