Fixing flaky tests

Three non-negotiables, in order:

1. Reproduce before you fix. A fix for a failure you never observed is a guess. Only fall back to analytical fixes when the escalation ladder below is exhausted.
2. Fix the root cause. Sleeps, raised timeouts, retries, and weakened assertions hide flakes; they do not fix them.
3. Validate with an N-run loop. One green run proves nothing about an intermittent failure. Size N to the observed failure rate.

Before any of these: measure, don't assume. Flaky-vs-deterministic, and the rate, are facts to establish from verifiable GitHub run data (step 1) — never inherited from a Slack alert, a teammate's guess, or a ci:insights label.

For triaging a red CI run (finding and classifying the failure), use the debugging-ci-failures skill first — this skill takes over once the failure is classified as a flaky test. For writing new Playwright tests that aren't flaky, use the playwright-test skill.

1. Measure the failure rate — from GitHub, not from a digest

The GitHub Actions API (or GitHub MCP) is the source of truth. hogli ci:insights is a digest, not an oracle — it can mislabel flaky-vs-deterministic, misstate the rate, and lag the API. Use it to validate a hypothesis or pull historical context, never as the first move or the classification authority.

Establish the timeline yourself from raw run data:

# Pass/fail history for the workflow on the branch under suspicion (master shown):
gh run list --repo PostHog/posthog --workflow=ci-backend.yml --branch master \
  --status completed --limit 60 --json conclusion,headSha,createdAt,databaseId

The run-level conclusion is not enough — a red run may be failing on a different job/test. Confirm it is the same test each time by reading the failing shard's log; and for green runs, confirm the test actually ran and passed in that shard (it may have been sharded elsewhere, not fixed):

gh api repos/PostHog/posthog/actions/jobs/{job_id}/logs \
  | grep -E "<exact::test::id>|short test summary"

Read the timeline before you classify:

• Interleaved pass/fail on adjacent commits — the same unchanged test verified passing in some runs, failing in others → genuinely flaky; continue here.
• A long unbroken failure streak (say 30+ consecutive) is statistically incompatible with a flake — at any per-run rate below ~95%, p^30 ≈ 0. That is a deterministic regression: go to debugging-ci-failures and find the introducing commit (step 4).
• Both at once is common: a latent flake whose rate jumped to ~100%. Find the transition (last green → first red); that boundary, not the digest's one-line guess, is what tells you what tipped it.

If a failure is reported as (or you suspect it is) consistent, don't serialize — measure the rate and attempt a repro in parallel.

Record the measured rate (failures / total runs, from the run data). You need it to size the validation loop in step 6.

Then confirm it is not already handled:

git log --oneline -10 -- <test_file_path>          # recently fixed already?
hogli ci:insights search "<test name or error>"    # historical context / existing fix — corroborate against the run data, do not trust blindly

An insight with a merged fix means the flake may already be resolved — read the fix, confirm against the run data that it covers this failure, and report instead of re-fixing.

2. Extract the failure from CI

gh run view <run-id> --log-failed
# If the job was re-run and the latest attempt passed, the flaky failure
# lives in a previous attempt:
gh api "repos/PostHog/posthog/actions/runs/{run_id}/attempts/1/jobs"
gh api "repos/PostHog/posthog/actions/jobs/{job_id}/logs"

Capture before moving on:

• Exact test ID (file path + test name) and the failing assertion or error.
• Surrounding warnings — [MSW] Unhandled, async leak warnings, teardown errors — these are often the actual cause, printed before the symptom.
• Which other tests ran in the same worker/shard before it (ordering suspects).

3. Reproduce locally — before touching anything

Escalate through these conditions until the failure appears. Stop at the first level that reproduces it; that level is your validation environment for step 6.

1. Single run: hogli test <path>::<test> — confirms the test runs at all.

2. Repetition loop (default N=20): catches probabilistic flakes.

3. CI-like conditions: CI runs Jest sharded with low worker counts on contended runners — read the current flags from frontend/package.json's test script and .github/workflows/ci-frontend.yml before running. Example (with the flags as of this writing), running the test alongside its shard neighbors:

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   pnpm --filter=@posthog/frontend jest <test_file> <neighbor_file> --maxWorkers=2 --forceExit

   For pytest, run the whole file or class rather than the single test, so module-level fixtures and ordering match CI.

4. Ordering: run suspected polluter tests before the victim; reverse the order within the file. Flakes that vanish in isolation are ordering bugs.

5. Contention: re-run the loop while something CPU-heavy runs in another shell (e.g. a parallel full-file jest run). Timeout-class flakes often only show here.

The loop harness — judge by exit code, not by grepping output:

N=20; PASS=0; FAIL=0
for i in $(seq 1 $N); do
  if <test command> >/tmp/flake-run.log 2>&1; then
    PASS=$((PASS+1))
  else
    FAIL=$((FAIL+1)); cp /tmp/flake-run.log /tmp/flake-fail-$i.log; echo "run $i: FAIL"
  fi
done
echo "$PASS passed, $FAIL failed out of $N"

Two cost notes for the loop:

• While reproducing, break after the first failure — one captured failure log is enough. Complete all N runs only when measuring the failure rate or validating in step 6.
• The pnpm --filter=@posthog/frontend jest script runs pnpm build:products before every invocation. Inside a loop, build once, then iterate with pnpm --filter=@posthog/frontend exec jest ..., which skips the rebuild.

If nothing reproduces after the full ladder, the flake is CI-environment-specific. Proceed with a fix grounded in the CI evidence and root-cause analysis, and say so explicitly in the report — the validation in step 6 is then analytical, not empirical.

4. Root-cause the flake

Match the symptom to a cause class; never patch the symptom.

When the cause isn't obvious, bisect

If the symptom table doesn't point at a clear cause and the test file itself is unchanged (git log -- <test_file> is stale), the trigger is elsewhere — a neighbor test, a dependency bump, or a product change. Find when it started instead of guessing:

• Bisect the CI run history first (cheap, no local builds): from the step-1 timeline, take the last-green → first-red boundary and diff the commits in that window (git log <good>..<bad>). That short list often names the culprit outright.

• git bisect the code when you can reproduce locally and the failure is (near-)deterministic:

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  git bisect start <bad-sha> <good-sha>
  git bisect run bash -c '<repro command>'   # exit 0 = good, non-zero = bad

  Caveat: for an intermittent flake, a lucky pass at a step sends git bisect down the wrong path. Trust code-bisect only when the failure is deterministic; otherwise run the repro N times per step (fail if any iteration fails), or just use the CI run-history boundary.

PostHog-specific patterns:

Frontend (Jest + kea)

• Missing MSW mocks: kea logics with afterMount loaders fire API calls through the connect() chain — a logic three levels deep can trigger an unmocked fetch. Unhandled requests currently resolve with a benign empty paginated 200, so the symptom is a loader succeeding with empty or wrong data, not a network error. The [MSW] Unhandled GET ... warning in the log names the missing mock — add the useMocks entry. The unhandled-request behavior has changed before (it used to hang); if symptoms don't match, read frontend/src/mocks/jest.ts for what unmocked requests do today.
• toFinishAllListeners() timeouts: waits for ALL kea listener promises across ALL mounted logics (3s default — LISTENER_FINISH_WAIT_TIMEOUT in kea-test-utils). Any connected logic with a pending loader blocks it. Fix the pending work; do not raise the timeout.
• Mock URL mismatch: mocksToHandlers strips trailing slashes, but query params, @current-style segments, and :param patterns must match the real request URL. Compare against the [MSW] Unhandled line.
• Per-test handler reset: frontend/src/mocks/jest.ts registers a global afterEach(() => mswServer.resetHandlers()). Each it.each case is a separate test, so runtime mocks must be (re-)registered in beforeEach.
• Leaked mounts: logics mounted in beforeEach and never unmounted leak async work into later tests.

Backend (pytest)

• DB state leakage: shared rows across tests without isolation — check fixture scope and whether the test needs @pytest.mark.django_db(transaction=True).
• Real time: use freeze_time; never assert on now()-derived values.
• ClickHouse eventual consistency: a query may not see just-inserted data — flush explicitly in the test setup rather than sleeping.

5. Fix the root cause — never mask it

Keep the fix minimal and inside the test or its fixtures when possible. If the race is in product code, the flake found a real bug — fix the product code and say so in the report.

6. Validate with an N-run loop

Run the step-3 harness on the fixed code under the same conditions that reproduced the failure (same neighbors, worker count, contention).

Size N from the observed pre-fix failure rate: if it failed about 1 in k runs, you need roughly N ≥ 3k consecutive passes for ~95% confidence the flake is gone — (1 - 1/k)^(3k) ≈ 5%. So use N = max(3k, 20). Without a usable rate estimate, run 50 and note the reduced confidence in the report. If the flake was never reproducible locally, run N = 20 as a regression check and label the validation as analytical.

Any failure in the loop → back to step 4; the root cause was wrong or incomplete. Finish with one normal run of the surrounding file/suite to confirm the fix didn't break sibling tests.

7. Report

Test:            <file path>::<test name>
Observed in CI:  <measured rate from run data, e.g. 8/45 runs over 3h (gh run list); ci:insights corroborates>
Local repro:     <command + conditions, e.g. 3/20 failures with neighbor X, maxWorkers=2 | not reproducible locally>
Root cause:      <one or two sentences>
Fix:             <what changed and why it removes the cause>
Validation:      <N>/<N> passes under repro conditions | analytical only (CI-specific)
Follow-ups:      <product bug found, related tests with the same pattern, or none>

Boundaries

• Do not rerun CI jobs, push, or post to GitHub to "test" the fix — validate locally.
• Do not edit .github/workflows/ as part of a flake fix.
• Do not accept/update snapshots to make a flake pass.
• If the same root-cause pattern clearly affects sibling tests, fix them in the same change only when mechanical; otherwise list them as follow-ups.